Analysis Of Hagerty's 2023 Sales

PLUS: Weekend Sales Are On The Up 📈

The Daily Vroom

Good morning, Vroomers! 👋

A warm welcome to all the new members who've joined our community in the past few days.

Today, we're switching things up a bit in our daily edition, as our focus will primarily be on Hagerty's 2023 sales. Brace yourselves, because the results might just leave you surprised – they certainly did for me!

MARKET UPDATE

Over the past three days, we've witnessed a modest uptick in market activity, characterized by an increase in both the number of sales and the total market value of vehicles sold. On Friday alone, we observed transactions totaling $6 million, and over the weekend, that figure rose slightly to just over $6.2 million.

It makes me wonder if January is gradually building momentum, setting the stage for a potentially vibrant February. However, before we get too carried away with our expectations, it's worth noting that there are numerous exciting auctions lined up for this week. We'll be covering many of them right here in The Daily Vroom, so stay tuned for the latest updates. Below is the top sale over the last 3 days - how beautiful is this!!

Hagerty’s 2023 Sales

Analyzing Hagerty's 2023 sales proved to be quite the intricate task, demanding a significant amount of time and effort behind the scenes. While I'll be presenting only a selection of graphs and some explanatory text here, rest assured that there was an extensive groundwork involved.

Before diving into the numbers, let's take a brief trip down memory lane. You're all familiar with Hagerty as the insurance company, but did you know they acquired Broad Arrow, a live auction company, a few years ago? Well, it started with an investment and eventually led to a full acquisition, but the exact details aren't our focus right now. Fast forward to November 2022, and Hagerty introduced its marketplace, which, for the purposes of this article, we'll refer to as Hagerty Auctions.

From conversations with individuals closely associated with Hagerty and some within the company itself, it became apparent that their goal was to leverage their brand and tap into their vast database of collector car enthusiasts to compete with the likes of Bring a Trailer (BaT). If anyone had the potential to disrupt the market, it seemed to be Hagerty, given their identity and their extensive customer base.

Overseeing Hagerty Auctions is Broad Arrow, led by Kenneth Ahn, who departed from Sotheby's to embark on this journey. While I can't claim to possess precise knowledge of the company's inner workings, it's evident that Broad Arrow appears to be steering the ship. Their approach to commentary during auctions is notably distinct from the rest of the market. Each auction is managed by individuals from Broad Arrow, who willingly share their contact information and offer colorful commentary. For instance, they might exclaim, "Congratulations! Quite the bidding duel at the end, and @Bigblock-w7ekzn1f takes it home! Well played and played well!" This is just one of the milder examples, mind you. It may not appeal to everyone, but it certainly stands out.

Now, let's delve into how they operate. Broad Arrow seems to exist in a somewhat intermediate space between physical and online auctions. They display the sold price, including the buyer's premium (which, I must admit, added an extra layer of complexity to my sales analysis), and they charge a 7% fee with no apparent maximum limit. They also handle title transfers, and payment appears to be directed to them, after which they facilitate the payment to the seller.

With the more technical details out of the way, let's take a closer look at how they fared in practice.

The year didn't kick off with much vigor, as we only saw a total of less than 20 sales in each of the early months. Things didn't significantly improve until June, which interestingly aligned with their first partnership of the year. During that period, they listed and successfully sold 30 cars from the Retro Motors Collection.

August marked another noteworthy milestone with the introduction of the Vault Collection of Boca Raton. However, the true climax of the year occurred towards the end when they concluded with a bang. The year wrapped up on a high note with a spectacular finale – a total of 50 No Reserve Auctions featuring the remarkable George Forman collection.

In the above chart, you'll find a breakdown of vehicle sales month by month. It's quite evident that the collections they introduced in June, August, and notably in December (where they presented two collections) played a pivotal role in driving car sales. Below we have a graph depicting quarterly sales which shows nice growth each quarter.

For those of you that like to see a more granular detail of the sales timeline, here you go 😀.

Above, we have a list of the top 10 vehicles that made significant sales last year. It's quite undeniable that the Ford GT took center stage, leaving an indelible mark on the rankings.

The fees that Hagerty ought to have collected are depicted in the figures above, totaling $1.27 million for the year. It's worth noting that these numbers are based on the assumption that every deal materializes, which, in reality, is quite improbable, if not impossible. There will likely be a small percentage of deals that do not come to fruition for various reasons. Additionally, it's reasonable to assume that there may have been some fee negotiations when they were initially establishing their business.

You can clearly observe spikes in sales activity during the months of June and December, aligning with the auctions of those notable collections.

Their average sell-through rate throughout the year was an impressive 74.5%. This figure was undoubtedly boosted by the inclusion of numerous no-reserve auctions, particularly the George Foreman Collection.

It appears that their specialty lies in the 1960s and 1970s, a distinctive focus compared to the rest of the market. Interestingly, the standout year for them in terms of sales was 1967.

During the 1960s and 1970s, as it is today, Ford and Chevrolet were among the most sought-after makes. With Hagerty, they managed to sell an impressive 73 out of 106 Chevrolet vehicles they listed and 69 out of 89 Ford vehicles they had on offer during that period.

In our community's favorite chart highlighting the most popular day of the week, it's clear that Thursday is the day when significant transactions take place, attracting the big money!

In summary, I must admit that I was quite taken aback by the overall results from Hagerty, particularly since I closely monitor their performance on a daily basis. The first half of the year left much to be desired, and I believe that initial disappointment colored my perception of their year as a whole.

Evidently, Hagerty seems to have grasped the significance of featuring substantial collections, many of which are offered with no reserves, as it proved to be a lucrative strategy for them. The challenge lies in sourcing such collections, as it's not something that can be done on a weekly or even monthly basis.

That said, I can only imagine that within the walls of Hagerty's headquarters, there's a sense of relief regarding the latter half of the year. While they may not be ecstatic with the results, and I believe this sentiment is shared by most I've spoken to, they did make considerable progress. If you follow my daily leaderboards, you'll notice that Hagerty rarely makes an appearance there. They still have a considerable gap to bridge to catch up with the major players in the market. A critical factor contributing to this disparity is the number of vehicles they have available for auction. The challenge of consistently sourcing a high volume of vehicles is a daunting one.

The question for 2024 is whether they can crack the code for this. At present, if you peruse their press releases and videos, you'll find minimal mention of their online auctions. There's a reason for this; the results haven't yet aligned with their expectations.

I was cautiously optimistic when they initially launched, believing they could take on the industry giants. Then came the first five months of 2023, and my optimism waned. However, reflecting on the past six months while putting this analysis together, I'm revisiting my stance. Among the platforms that don't consistently feature in The Daily Vroom's market leaderboard, Hagerty appears to have the best shot at consistently securing top positions.

Nonetheless, I firmly believe that a substantial change is required for them to compete consistently at the highest level. Without the collection component, I struggle to see how they can amass enough listings to challenge on a regular basis. I'm open to being proven wrong, and I hope to witness a remarkable turnaround in their fortunes.

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